How It Works

Our AI-powered platform analyzes prediction markets to identify trading opportunities using quantitative methods.

1. Market Data Ingestion

Our system continuously fetches real-time market data from Polymarket, including prices, volumes, liquidity, and event metadata. We filter for active markets with future end dates to ensure relevance.

2. AI Signal Generation

Advanced algorithms analyze each market using price momentum indicators, volume-weighted confidence scoring, liquidity assessment, and time decay factors to generate probability estimates.

3. Edge Detection

We compare our model probability against market implied probability to identify mispriced opportunities. Positive edge indicates undervalued YES positions; negative edge suggests overvalued markets.

4. Position Sizing via Kelly Criterion

For each signal, we calculate optimal position sizes using the Kelly Criterion formula, balancing expected edge against risk to maximize long-term growth while managing drawdowns.

Automated Updates

The entire pipeline runs automatically every 15 minutes via scheduled cron jobs, ensuring you always have access to the latest market analysis and trading signals.